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2012-13 NBA Power Rankings 6.0

 

Meant to get this up yesterday, but ran out of time. Here are my weekly NBA power rankings and "awards" watch lists through games Sunday. Not much commentary because I'm still crunched for time.

RANK  LW  TEAM  POW 
 1 3 LAC  100 
 2 2 OKC 99 
 3 1 SAS 98 
 4 4 NYK 95 
 5 5 MEM 90 
 6 6 MIA 90 
 7 7 ATL 80 
 8 8 LAL 79 
 9 9 BRK 77 
10 11 CHI 76
11 13 DEN 75 
12  15 MIN 74 
13  10 UTA 73 
14  16 GSW 72 
15 12 HOU 70 
16 14 BOS 67 
17 18 IND 66 
18 17 MIL 65 
19 19 DAL 60 
20 25 POR 59 
21 20 PHI 58 
22 23 ORL 58 
23 26 PHO 56 
24 21 DET 55 
25 24 NOH 52 
26 28 TOR 49 
27 22 SAC 47 
28 29 CLE 46 
29 27 CHA 44 
30 30 WAS 41 
       

The rankings have stabilized significantly. There's clear separation between the top six teams and "the rest." The Wizards continue to cling to dead last. At the suggestion of someone at RealGM, I compared the Clippers bench to the Wizards starters using my stat, Player Production Average (PPA). The Clippers bench was significantly better.

MOST VALUABLE PLAYER

MVP  LW  PLAYER  TEAM  PPA 
Lebron James  MIA  228 
2 4 Kevin Durant OKC  224 
3 3 Chris Paul LAC  222 
4 2 Tim Duncan SAS  205 
5 5 Tyson Chandler NYK  204 
          
These are based PPA, which is a per minute production measure I developed. It's based on rewarding players for activities that help their teams win and "penalizing" them for activities that contribute to losing. PPA includes accounting for defense. As usual, 100 = average and higher is better.

I have been considering going to total production for the awards watch section. Making that change would yield this top five: Durant, Lebron, Paul, Varejao, and Kobe Bryant. Total production obviously rewards players who are able to play more minutes. For now, I'm sticking with the per minute measure.

6th MAN

6MY  LW  PLAYER  TEAM  PPA 
Eric Bledsoe LAC  193 
2 3 Andre Drummond DET  181 
3 1 Greg Smith HOU  169 
4 4 Javale McGee DEN  167 
5 5 Tiago Splitter SAS  177 
         

Note that Splitter has the third best PPA on the list, but ranks just 5th. That's because he got "dinged" for this category because he started a few games. Other players moving into top 5 contention for 6th Man: Atlanta's Ivan Johnson, OKC's Kevin Martin, Atlanta's Louis Williams, Golden State's Carl Landry.

ROOKIE OF THE YEAR

ROY  LW  PLAYER  TEAM  PPA 
1 Andre Drummond DET 181 
2 1 Anthony Davis NOH 167 
3 -- Andrew Nicholson ORL 116 
4 4 Damian Lillard POR 111 
5 3 Michael Kidd-Gilchrist CHA  108 
         

Considered going to total production for ROY, but that pulled Harrison Barnes into the top 5 because he plays so many minutes. Why would that be a problem? His PPA is 65, which is barely above replacement level in my system. Compared to the average NBA player, Barnes shoots worse from 2pt range, 3pt range and the free throw line, and he's below average per minute (pace adjusted) in rebounding, assists, steals, blocks and points. Not going on my "best rookies" list.

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