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Upon Further Review: Still No Reason to Panic Ab out Bradley Beal

Upon further review, still no reason to panic about Bradley Beal. Getty Images

Yesterday, I took a look at teenage rookie guards who began their careers in a manner similar to Wizards rookie Bradley Beal. Beal, of course, has had a terrible first couple games. My point was simple: don't worry about it. Two games, 43 minutes, 13 field goal attempts. Puny sample size. Waste of time trying to read meaning into it. Save the angst for if he's still playing like this by game 20.

Anyway, today while not obsessing about the election results, I took a look at the first two career games for all 90 teenage rookies since 1985-86. The group's debut appearances have been underwhelming. Teenage rookies collectively earned a rating of 61 in my statistical evaluation system -- where 100 = average, higher is better, and 60 = replacement level. In other words, many teenage rookies struggle at first.

Not all, of course. A number of teens were actually good (or better) producers right off the bat, including players like Lebron James, Lamar Odom, Anthony Davis, Luol Deng, Dwight Howard, Kyrie Irving, and Nicholas Batum.

Beal, of course, is not one of those producers. His performance rates a whopping zero in my system (remember, 60 is replacement value). One way of looking at it is that he has literally contributed nothing in the team's first two games.

So, is it okay to start panicking? No!

Here's a list of notable players who were even worse in their first two games as teen rookies:

  • Corey Maggette
  • Josh Smith
  • Louis Williams
  • Shawn Kemp
  • Carmelo Anthony
  • Eric Gordon
  • Gilbert Arenas
  • Tyson Chandler
  • Kobe Bryant
  • Ersan Ilyasova
The point: those first two games are not reason to panic about Beal. That is all.

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