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Skins Fans Won't Like These Efficiency Rankings

Brian Burke at Advanced NFL Stats posted his first efficiency rankings of the season. His rankings have Houston at number one -- no shocker there. At #32...the Washington Redskins.

Ouch.

I don't have much to say about his methodology except that a) I think it's excellent, and b) his results over the past few years (meaning his predictions) suggest the method is good. The big caveat to these results: it's based on only three weeks of data.

That said, to summarize what Burke's system says about the Redskins: Against a weak schedule, Washington has been about average offensively (18th overall) and manure on toast defensively (32nd).

To go a bit further, Washington has been decent throwing the ball, and quite good running it. They're fumbling too much, however.

The Skins have the league's worst pass defense and have been below average at stuffing the run. And they have the league's worst penalty rate.

The full rankings:

  1. Houston Texans
  2. Philadelphia Eagles
  3. Denver Broncos
  4. Atlanta Falcons
  5. Baltimore Ravens
  6. Carolina Panthers
  7. San Francisco 49ers
  8. Arizona Cardinals
  9. New York Giants
  10. Green Bay Packers
  11. Dallas Cowboys
  12. Minnesota Vikings
  13. Buffalo Bills
  14. New England Patriots
  15. San Diego Chargers
  16. Seattle Seahawks
  17. Miami Dolphins
  18. Chicago Bears
  19. Cleveland Browns
  20. New York Jets
  21. Cincinnati Bengals
  22. Detroit Lions
  23. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  24. Jacksonville Jaguars
  25. Pittsburgh Steelers
  26. Oakland Raiders
  27. Kansas City Chiefs
  28. Tennessee Titans
  29. Indianapolis Colts
  30. St. Louis Rams
  31. New Orleans Saints
  32. Washington Redskins
In that list, I've bolded the Redskins and italicized their opponents. The Bengals, Rams and Saints rank 21st, 30th and 31st respectively.

Trying to look bright side here, I guess there's nowhere to go but up.

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